NFL Picks - Week 7

Minnesota (-5) over PITTSBURGH. What am I missing here? Yeah, Minnesota couldn't cover last week at home after falling apart in the fourth quarter. Pittsburgh does this every week. Would not surprise me at all if Minny is down 10, scores a TD with 5 minutes to go and that is the final score of the game. Do the math. Pittsburgh by 3.

New England (-14.5) over Tampa Bay. This game is being played in London, so it's not really a home game for Tampa Bay. That also explains why the spread is so large. Look, I think TB has a good chance of covering this since the spread is so large and there are a lot of variables when playing across the pond. The main reason I'm going with the Pats here is they lit the Titans on fire last week, in the freaking snow. Either Tom Brady is back, or that was one of the weirdest one-off blips in NFL history. I think he's back.

San Diego (-5) over KANSAS CITY. I must have gone back and forth on this game 5 times. Stay away. The Chargers are 2-3 and the Chiefs are fresh off covering their last two games. This looks like a KC cover until you remember what Philip Rivers did to them last year in KC. I'll take Rivers here with a big fourth quarter and a "dirty cover".

San Francisco (+3) over HOUSTON. San Francisco is legit and that last game where they pooped the bed was just a random blip. Houston is too inconsistent to bet on right now unless you like having chest pains.

Green Bay (-9) over CLEVELAND. Not buying into Cleveland one bit even though they covered their last two games. I don't think they have the defensive pressure to stop Aaron "Suddenly I'm a legit Top 5 NFL QB" Rodgers.

Indianapolis (-13.5) over ST. LOUIS. Peyton Manning just scored another touchdown.... And they get Bob Sanders back for this game. Bad news for the Rams offense.

New York Jets (-6.5) over OAKLAND. Not buying the Oakland win and huge cover last week. In the end they still barely scored any points, 7 of which were on a joke Zach Miller blown play long TD. Andy Reid was probably more focused on where his Sunday morning cheeseburger was coming from than scheming against the Oakland D.

CAROLINA (-7) over Buffalo. Might as well bet big on Buffalo as any time I bet on Carolina this year they fail me. I'm buying them because their RB duo is better than Buffalo's and looked amazing last week. If Delhomme can only throw 10 times and both Stewart and Williams have over 100 yards rushing again, Carolina covers easily.

Atlanta (+4) over DALLAS. Am I missing something here? I feel like this might be the second coming of the Atlanta at NE game, where Atlanta never really had a chance. But Dallas is awful this year, right? I'll bet on it. This is my lock of the week. In fact, forget the points, and bet big on Atlanta straight up. They could win by 14+.

Chicago (+1) over CINCINNATI. Cutler will bounce back after last week's affair even if Forte continues his epic Sophomore slump. Also, I just don't trust Cinci this year.

New Orleans (-6.5) over MIAMI. Took a lot of time thinking about this one. On one hand, you have Miami, who looks much better at home and found a way to win against the Jets a couple of weeks ago. On the other hand, you have the Saints, who have won every game this year by at least 14 points. I'll take the Saints, barely.

NEW YORK GIANTS (-7) over Arizona. Arizona struggles when having to travel East and the Giants are looking to vindicate being embarrassed by New Orleans last week. I think this is a close one, so I wouldn't recommend betting on it with a high level of confidence.

Philadelphia (-7) over WASHINGTON. Not buying into Washington for the rest of the year after their loss to KC last week. Philly did lose to Oakland, but I'll call that a minor blip on the radar. Philly big in this one.