NFL Picks - Week 4

Cincinnati Bengals (-6) over CLEVELAND BROWNS. This is a tough one. On one hand you have Cinci, who is probably laying the most points on the road since it made the playoffs earlier this decade. On the other hand you have the Cleveland Browns who don't have an offense. I think if the Browns are going to cover they'll need at least one TD return from Cribbs and I doubt that will happen. The Cinci defense is legit and Palmer looks decent this year.

CHICAGO BEARS (-10) over Detroit Lions. Congrats to the Lions who won last week. Too bad they go on the road against a Chicago team that is looking very strong. I expect big days from Cutler, Forte, and Hester as Chicago puts up a ton of points against the Detroit D.

HOUSTON TEXANS (-8.5) over Oakland Raiders. The Raiders got killed last week and I think that will be the story for the rest of their season. Houston has a better offense and a better defense. They should easily win by 10 or more.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-10) over Seattle Seahawks. Call this betting against Seneca Wallace on the road against Peyton Manning. The Colts look like they are firing on all cylinders right now while the Seahawks look like... a beat up old Ford.

Tampa Bay Bucs (+7.5) over WASHINGTON REDSKINS. This worries me as the Bucs are starting a new QB and it could be a trap game. However, Jim Zorn is probably the worst coach in the NFL (or the JaMarcus Russell of coaches, if you will) and I don't see the skins doing anything until they replace Jason Campbell. If you're a skins fan, at least Santana Moss looked good last week, right?

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (+3) over Tennessee Titans. A team who isn't that bad (Jacksonville) is getting points at home against a team that is 0-3? Sign me up for that.

New York Giants (-8.5) over KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. Fade the Chiefs this year, it would have won you money every week thus far. This is my lock of the week.

Baltimore Ravens (+2) over NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. This is a tough game to bet on and if I were you, I'd probably pass. The Patriots are poised to get a lot of starters back healthy this week and should build on last week's performance. However, I have a rule - if the current favorite to win the AFC or NFC is getting points, you take them.

Buffalo Bills (-1.5) over MIAMI DOLPHINS. I like Chad Henne but I don't like the Dolphins only getting 1.5 points at home against a very solid Buffalo team. Also, this isn't December, so it's not like the Bills are going to be traveling from 0 and snowy to 70 and sunny. Getting Lynch back adds another bullet to Buffalo's potent 9 mm offense.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-9.5) over St. Louis Rams. Sorry Kyle Boller, but I'm not buying into you. The niners are a really good team this year and I think they easily cover this at home. No Frank Gore might be a problem, but I think Coffee steps up and has a pretty big game.

DENVER BRONCOS (+3) over Dallas Cowboys. Denver might be the league's worst undefeated team, but they sure do know how to find ways to win. I think Romo has a decent game here, but the Cowboys are not to be trusted (that is, unless you are betting on them against Delhomme and the Panthers - cha ching!)

San Diego Chargers (+7) over PITTSBURGH STEELERS. I am not buying into this Steelers team without Troy P. They don't have a running game and Big Ben can't win them all by himself. San Diego should have LDT back and I like Rivers as the best player on either offense.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-3) over Green Bay Packers. Boy, I really feel there is a chance that Favre might fuck this one up for his team given how bad he wants to gut punch the Packers. But in the end, Minnesota will sack Rodgers 999 times on the way to a big win on Monday night.