NFL Picks - Week 6

WASHINGTON (-6) over Kansas City. I'm buying this "don't fire Jim Zorn" movement by the players. If Jason Campbell can successfully remove his head from his ass, then I think the Redskins easily cover this game. I don't like KC on the road, and I don't like their running game either. Redskins by 7.

NEW ORLEANS (-3) over New York Giants. Tough one to call and it should be a great game but I think the Saints pull this one out. 1) The Superdome is one of the toughest places to play in the NFL. 2) This is the first game the Saints have all three of their RBs fully healthy. 3) Drew Brees is looking to kick it back into gear after his poor performance against the Jets. 4) The Saints are coming off a bye. New Orleans by 10.

TAMPA BAY (+3.5) over Carolina. Steve Smith is banged up and Jake Delhomme sucks - that is why I am taking Tampa here. If I were you, I wouldn't bet on this game though. Too close to call. Carolina by 3.

CINCINNATI (-5) over Houston. Houston has been consistently beat by 7 or more points this year against teams with winning records. That is enough for me to take Cinci in this matchup. Although Cinci looked rough last week against Cleveland, I think they come out of this one with a decent win. Cinci by 10.

MINNESOTA (-3) over Baltimore. I'm buying into Baltimore's recent slide. I think they were overrated at the beginning of the season, while the Vikings seem to have all of the pieces to make a deep playoff run. Peterson, Favre, Harvin, Berrian, and Shiancoe is a pretty freaking solid offensive base and their defense can stop both the run and the pass. Minny by 10.

Cleveland (+14) over PITTSBURGH. I don't see why the Steelers constantly give up points in the fourth quarter but are given two touchdown spreads. Obviously people are overbetting them, which confuses me because they don't cover! The Lions came back to cover last week and I think Cleveland does the same this week. The only hope the Steelers have is something like a 28-7 win in this game, which is possible, but I'll bet against it. Pittsburgh by 10.

JACKSONVILLE (-9.5) over St. Louis. I don't like this Rams team at all - no QB and no WR. All the opposing defense has to do is key on SJax and the STL offense is totally fucked. Garrard bounces back after a rough week last week and finds the former Ram, Torry Holt, for a score. Jacksonville by 17. If I were in a survival pool, I'd take Jax here too.

GREEN BAY (-13.5) over Detroit. No Calvin Johnson = problem for the Lions. Stafford or Culpepper doesn't matter - the Lions won't be able to run the ball as GB should focus on stopping that part of their offense. Rodgers still gets sacked a few times in this game, but not to the extent of the Minny game. Green bay by 17.

Philadelphia (-14) over OAKLAND. I don't think I need to explain this one. Philly is another great choice for a survival pool. The Eagles offense blows up - Philly by 35.

SEATTLE (-3) over Arizona. Seattle, like New Orleans, is a very tough place to play. The 'Hawks looked great last week with Hasselbeck back at the helm and I think they continue to look good against the Cardinals. Seattle by 10.

NEW ENGLAND (-9) over Tennessee. Look, Tennessee is plain awful this year. People were talking about the Dolphins being the one year wonder this year, but it's the Titans, hands down. Kerry Collins is going to need a lot of booze to cover this spread, let alone win the game. Vince Young has no chance. New England by 17.

NEW YORK JETS (-9.5) over Buffalo. The Bills are in turmoil and the Jets are coming off a tough loss on Monday night. What does that mean? The Jets come out fired up and ready to play. Their defense shuts down the Bills dreadful offense and wins this game. NYJ by 14.

ATLANTA (-3.5) over Chicago. Probably the second best game of the week, and another that I wouldn't necessarily bet on. Chicago has looked great since losing their first game, but that's been aided by playing a lot of games at home. Atlanta looked like a Super Bowl-caliber team last week and I think that continues this week. Atlanta by 7.

SAN DIEGO (-3.5) over Denver. Denver's perfect streak ends in San Diego. The Broncos haven't faced much of a test on the road (other than being the benefit of extremely good fortune to beat the Bengals in week 1), and San Diego is a tough team. I could see SD winning by only three, but I'm taking them anyway. San Diego by 4.

Last Week: 7-7

Year-to-Date: 39-20-1