College Football Picks - Week 6

Smile like you mean it -

Michigan (+8) over IOWA. Look, Iowa was good the last time it played on a Saturday night on ABC (speaking of that, when was a Big 10 team that was "not that good" to start the season given two Saturday night games in 3 weeks? This has to be the first time, right?). Iowa City is a tough place to play, but I think Michigan fights through it. I'm not saying Michigan wins this game, but I think at the very worst they keep it close. We're talking about a team here that scored 14 points in the last five minutes of the State game, on the road, in the pouring rain. Giving them 8 points is a joke.

Stanford (Pick 'em) over OREGON STATE. The underlying statistics show that Stanford is a better team then they are ranked and are coming off wins against Washington and UCLA, both better teams than Oregon State. I also think Oregon State is looking ahead to next week when they play USC and have a little bit of a letdown in this game.

TEXAS (-32) over Colorado. This reminds me of one of those "but the spread is so large, maybe I should just take the underdog" games. Look, in this case - you should not. Colorado is plain awful this year. It's like the football team is consistently drinking Coors Light and smoking bud with the rest of the student body before the games.

Florida (-7) over LSU. I just don't think LSU is that good this year. They've struggled to win big against lesser opponents and lack real talent at their skill positions. I think Tebow plays and plays well. The Florida defense is still the best in the country and will keep LSU in check.

Michigan State (-4) over ILLINOIS. I am a little worried that Dantonio spent 99% of his offseason preparing for how to beat Michigan and that is why his team is 2-3. However, Illinois looks to have fallen off the face of the earth. Anytime they've played even a half decent team this year they have been slaughtered. I think Michigan State is one of the more underrated teams in the Big 10 and wins this by at least 7.