NFL Picks - Week 3

At the last second...

NEW YORK JETS (-2) over Tennessee Titans. I don't know why this is -2 or why it has moved to -2 from -3. The Jets have a better offense, defense, and special teams unit. Sure they just came off a big win over the Pats and might be experiencing a little hangover, but I doubt it.

Green Bay Packers (-6.5) over ST. LOUIS RAMS. I think the O-line problems continue for Green Bay, but their defense should be good enough to bottle up St. Louis' pitiful offense. I don't see the Rams scoring more than 14 here, so GB only needs 3 TDs to cover.

DETROIT LIONS (+6.5) over Washington Redskins. I feel like this is a popular pick which worries me a little. The Redskins have looked dreadful this year and Zorn is for sure on the hot seat. Jason Campbell isn't the answer and the Lions will be playing to avoid tying the longest losing streak in NFL history (20 games).

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-8.0) over Kansas City Chiefs. No McNabb, no problem. Kolb has a big day and leads the Eagles to a 10 point victory. I like this bet because the general public is usually wrong and since opening the line has moved from -9.5 (meaning people have been putting money on the Chiefs).

Atlanta Falcons (+4.5) over NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. Fool me once New England.... I just don't think the Pats are that good this year. Their defense has been gutted, they have no running back, and Brady is clearly not 100%. The Falcons, however, have proven that they are legit. Ryan, Turner, White, and Gonzalez might be the best QB/RB/WR/TE combo in the league (especially fantasy-wise). The Falcon D is underrated as well. If I was to bet on this game I'd probably bet on the Falcons' moneyline.

HOUSTON TEXANS (-4) over Jacksonville Jaguars. I think Schaub has a big day here as the Jax D isn't that great. Probably a high scoring game with the Texans pulling out a win by 7 to 10 points. I think Slaton could breakout here as well.

San Francisco 49ers (+7) over MINNESOTA VIKINGS. I don't like that AP is dinged up and I don't like Favre at all. The Niners proved to me last week that they are for real - one of the toughest teams in the NFL. And when a defensive-minded, tough team is getting 7 points, I take it.

BALTIMORE RAVENS (-13.5) over Cleveland Browns. Brady Quinn is awful and so is their running game without Jamal Lewis 100%. Flacco is probably the most underrated QB in the NFL right now and should have a field day against this defense. Baltimore by 21 points.

New York Giants (-6.5) over TAMPA BAY BUCS. This is a tough one and I'm not confidant at all in this pick. I don't like all the injuries the Giants have sustained and the Phillips injury will be tough pill for them to swallow as the year goes on. However, I think the Bucs are awful. NYG squeaks out a win here by 7 points.

New Orleans Saints (-6) over BUFFALO BILLS. Another tough one. The Bills are looking like a good team this year but the Saints might be the best team in the NFL. I think Brees continues to be the best player in the NFL this year and throws all over the Bills. New Orleans by 14.

Chicago Bears (-2.5) over SEATTLE SEAHAWKS. Man, Cutler sure could fuck this up for me. Seattle is notoriously a tough place to play and he obviously struggled on the road in Week 1. However, Hasselbeck is the 'Hawks key player and he's out this week. I just don't believe that Seneca Wallace can win this one. If you're taking the Seahawks, take the moneyline.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) over CINCINNATI BENGALS. The Cinci D is much improved this year, which gets their front office a huge +1 from me for drafting well. However, the loss to the Bears last week will motivate this Steeler team and they will win by 10-14 points.

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (-6) over Miami Dolphins. Chalk this one up to an east coast team traveling to the west coast. When you factor in they're playing this game after a Monday night game it should be even more obvious to take the Chargers in this one. Sproles and Rivers have big days. San Diego by 14.

Denver Broncos (-1.5) over OAKLAND RAIDERS. The win last week in KC was a fluke. JaMarcus Russell is the worst QB in the NFL and the Broncos offense is actually not that bad. Too bad Orton can't find his WRs for shit. Denver by 7.

Indianapolis Colts (+2.5) over ARIZONA CARDINALS. I don't believe in Arizona at all this year and last week Manning and the Colts proved they can win on the road. Colts by 7.

DALLAS COWBOYS (-8.5) over Carolina Panthers. I hate Jake Delhomme. Cowboys by 10.