NFL Fantasy Football Buy & Sell - Week 4

Buy

QB - Peyton Manning. There are just so many QBs out there that are good, it's tough to recommend a buy here for this position. The reason I listed Peyton is he's fully healthy this year after being hurt all last season. He has been on fire this season (300+ yards in every game) and you don't have to pay what you would for Drew Brees to get him. I'd rank him in the 5-10 range in terms of fantasy value.

RB - Matt Forte. Yes, he has been bad as the Bears have been throwing a lot more than anyone expected and he's not catching the passes he was last year (Orton loves to check down, and Cutler is a gunslinger, so that's not a big surprise). I think when the weather gets cold (60 degrees here in Chicago), the Bears run more and he starts to perform like a first round talent.

WR - Donald Driver. I think he puts up more points than Jennings this year as Jennings relies on the deep passes and the GB line cannot give Rodgers enough time to throw the ball down the field. Driver had a sneaky good season last year and I think he was vastly underrated coming into this season.

TE - Brent Celek. He's probably on waivers in your league and he's tied for first among fantasy TEs. That should be enough. Also, he's not just blowing up this season - look at what he did in the NFC championship against the Cardinals last year.

Sell

QB - Tom Brady. Look, there are lot of good fantasy QBs out there and Brady is currently ranked the 15th best QB. I think if you took him in the late first / early second round and could get 4th round talent out of him - you should. Remember before he had Randy Moss (and was healthy) he was a 9th round pick. I would have put Tony Romo here but I think all of the negative publicity has hurt his trade value to the point you should probably just keep him.

RB - DeAngelo Williams. I like Williams as he helped ruin one of my fantasy teams last year when I faced him in the playoffs. Great guy. This year what does he have? 1) Jake Delhomme, 2) 2nd year RB Jonathan Stewart, and 3) Defenses that are focusing more on him after his breakout year. That's not a good formula for him. I'd call him 15th-25th overall talent if I were drafting today.

WR - Larry Fitzgerald. He's not going to be a top 3 WR this year and here's why: 1) Boldin is healthy this year (he put up a ton of points when he broke his jaw last year), 2) Kurt Warner is one year older, and 3) The Madden Cover jinx. I would trade him straight up for Reggie Wayne, Andre Johnson, Randy Moss, and Marques Colston. Steve Smith is a close second here for his propensity to disappear in the year following a big year (and the whole Delhomme thing).

TE - Tony Gonzalez. A great TE, there is no doubting that. But there are a lot of good TEs out there with Celek and Vernon Davis performing this year. If you could get a decent WR (e.g., Cotchery) for him and still have another option at TE that is serviceable, I'd do it.