Tuesday, September 22, 2009

NFL Fantasy Football Buy & Sell - Week 3



Buy

Joe Flacco - This year's Philip Rivers? Perhaps, but maybe not that good. He was amazing as a rookie last year (beating the Titans in TEN in the playoffs should have been your clue), and this year he has improved. I think he's a top 7 QB at year end. If I could give up a 4th round pick to get him, I'd do it in a heartbeat. Look to teams that have him as a backup and make a decent offer.

Aaron Rodgers - Depending on what you have to pay to get him. He's been clobbered both weeks thus far and still is the 12th best fantasy QB. I think he's at his floor. His ceiling is top 3 production, but I think he lands somewhere in between. If his owner has a backup that is currently ranked higher than him (Leftwich, Ryan, Schaub, Edwards, etc.), make a fair offer.

Darren Sproles - LDT is done. Finished. Over. Sproles will be the main man in SD for this year and will be a top 10 back by season's end. I would value him as a 2nd or 3rd rounder.

Willis McGahee - Unlike Tomlinson, he is not done. Two good weeks to start the season and currently 5th overall among running backs. I don't think he stays in the top 5 but should easily be top 15 this year. I'd happily start him every week, just don't overpay for him.

Matt Forte - Still like him but you've got to push him down a little this year. I'd say late first / early second and if you can get him for anything less, do it in a heartbeat.

Brandon Jacobs - Like Matt Forte, if you can get him for early 3rd round / 4th round talent, I'd do it.

Dwayne Bowe - Love what he has done against the Ravens and then Nmadi. Especially when you factor in that it was with two different QBs - this guy is poised for a 800 Yard, 10 TD season and will finish in the top 10 of WRs.

Anquan Boldin - Banged up in week 1, that's going to hurt his ranking. However, he looked good last week and should continue to build off that success. I'm also building into his projection a Larry Fitzgerald injury (Madden Cover Jinx, see: everyone on the Madden Cover since Eddie George).

Greg Jennings - There is a major problem here, don't get me wrong. I think most people see it, however, and you can get him on the cheap right now. Rodgers simply needs more time to get Jennings the ball deep. Also, he's dropped a few. If you could get him for a 5th rounder, I'd do it. Driver is for real too this year, in case you were wondering.

Sell

Tony Romo - He'll put up great numbers in September and October, but that only helps you get to the fantasy playoffs. Once in the playoffs he'll forget to show up (look at his December splits) and you won't win your league. If you sold for a decent value (2nd or 3rd round pick) after week 1, kudos to you.

LaDainian Tomlinson - He's done. Simple as that.

Fred Jackson - Currently the 4th overall fantasy RB. I think that hurts Lynch a lot as they will likely split carries when he returns. They did this last year and Lynch was fine, but I think with TO in the mix there aren't enough balls to go around. Try to sell your opponent on the "Jackson is for real" and try to get a 6th to 8th round player out of him.

Marion Barber - I had him last year and he was great until he got hurt, then he was never the same. This year he's already hurt and probably out 2 weeks. I'd try to trade him or get Felix Jones, whichever is the best for your team.

Calvin Johnson - He's still Megatron but he's on the DEATH of NFL teams. He won't finish the season as a top 3 WR (where he was drafted). I'd put him in the 7-15 range and if you can get someone like Reggie Wayne for him, I'd do it in a second. Look to any fan from Southeastern Michigan and make the trade.

Terrell Owens - I think what he did on Sunday (52 yards, 1 TD) is his ceiling for most games. His floor? 1 catch for 20 yards.

T.J. Houshmandzadeh - Housh, meet Seneca Wallace. Seneca, meet Housh.

Braylon Edwards - I love Braylon as a person, but as a fantasy WR, it's going to be a lot more like 2008 than 2007. Thanks Brady Quinn!

3 comments:

  1. Go out on a limb....pickup Vick or Matt Stafford

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  2. I will not trade Megatron and a couple of the pickups/buy lows that you might want to add are Kevin Smith, Pierre Thomas, and/or Jeremy Maclin

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  3. sell high on anybody with Tourette's or Autism

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